The Spectator
Is there something about being Germany which protects the body against
coronavirus Covid-19? Probably not, I would guess. In which case
why do the latest figures from the Robert Koch Institute show
that the country has a case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.3 per cent, while
the World Health Organisation (WHO) figures from Italy seem to show a
CFR of 9 per cent? To say there is a vast gulf between those
figures is an understatement. If nine per cent of people who catch
Covid-19 are going to die from it we are facing a calamity beyond
parallel in the modern world. If only 0.3 per cent of people who
catch it die from it, this pandemic may yet turn out to be no worse than
seasonal flu, which as I have explained here
before is estimated by the US Centers for Disease Control to kill
between 291,000 and 646,000 people a year without the world really
noticing. According to John Hopkins University, which is collating fatalities data, 15,308 have died to date. .....On
the other hand, German hospitals do not routinely test for the presence
of coronavirus in patients who are dying or who have died of other
diseases. Italy, by contrast, is performing posthumous coronavirus
tests on patients whose deaths might otherwise have been attributed to
other causes. This matters hugely to the Case Fatality Rate for each country. As explained here before, CFR is not to be confused with the genuine Mortality Rate."
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