Well, almost none of these hysterical reactions is any helpful to reduce
the rate of contagion at the level of the individuals let alone the
aggregate numbers. This disease was tamed to near non-existence in China
– which has reduced the daily new cases from the peak around 1500 to
dozens – but it was at a painful cost.While I have no proof, it seems plausible to me that China did these
massive maneuvers because it had bad conscience about the origin of the
virus. The virus could have been created in the lab. It could have been
leaked due to a scary accident, a bat who bit a researcher. Or its
propagation at least depended on the first month of inaction. At any
rate, China decided to fight the virus in a hardcore way. It wasn't
sufficient to prevent the virus from getting to other countries – it
really couldn't have achieved this outcome (the virus was probably
present abroad already when the Chinese maneuvers began). But it was
sufficient to tame the new cases in China itself."
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